Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 91.885366 104.924346 120.173206 139.592360 164.067742 194.469887 236.061762
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 77.201192 94.260760 116.443989 148.481219 195.603792 266.245833 389.414523
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 72.575986 93.096063 122.027272 168.343406 246.545097 387.994500 715.560384
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 64.503712 85.189665 115.818987 168.182403 265.324836 467.670046 1069.335207
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 58.143797 78.505344 109.813760 166.219807 279.472552 547.627898 1585.857286
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 52.858123 72.602093 103.874825 162.657432 288.824531 624.307094 2343.525901
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 49.095492 68.532852 100.203712 162.257127 304.798257 734.964100 3925.450080
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 46.105301 65.312897 97.435306 162.884763 323.568554 877.865827 7675.488010
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 42.591417 60.872612 91.933622 156.772968 322.874271 950.584636 13050.084966
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 41.245238 59.878593 92.443231 163.482102 360.632381 1257.935487 85583.906051
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 38.584996 56.411139 87.964820 158.210054 360.745915 1375.704798 854775.366918
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 36.979162 54.622270 86.444670 159.474081 382.784808 1695.357907 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 34.668324 51.643180 82.740048 155.951465 391.534886 2002.652546 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 33.910785 51.380837 84.412740 166.426770 461.382094 3425.115245 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.230491 53.079313 90.310591 190.089448 616.888456 10622.171950 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.623223 51.019984 87.955789 189.896603 658.344312 19080.190055 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 31.033285 48.858638 85.110364 187.547210 687.194451 35841.745146 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.472631 46.635528 81.881360 183.289114 701.779519 69738.455728 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 28.293054 45.066720 79.959959 182.811146 744.137396 342707.018671 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 27.287382 43.764583 78.504887 183.560596 799.629799 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 25.906108 41.629559 74.906568 176.273572 783.338967 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 25.465897 41.343203 75.631415 184.274107 916.538150 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 24.316236 39.551051 72.574682 177.984786 905.028433 NaN NaN